BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Michigan St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 21 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (10-2) Overall Strength =   94.49

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2021 Away    W *  93.00  38  21   1A 107 (  3-  9) Northwestern            0.28     16.72                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    W    97.52  42  14   1B  37 (  3-  7) Youngstown St           4.80     23.20                      
  3 09/18/2021 Away    W   113.88  38  17   1A  52 (  7-  5) Miami FL               21.15     -0.15                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    W *  92.75  23  20   1A  28 (  3-  9) Nebraska                0.03      2.97                      
  5 10/02/2021 Home    W   106.17  48  31   1A  19 (  8-  4) Western Kentucky       13.45      3.55                      
  6 10/09/2021 Away    W * 100.91  31  13   1A  77 (  5-  7) Rutgers                 8.18      9.82                      
  7 10/16/2021 Away    W *  83.85  20  15   1A  97 (  2- 10) Indiana                -8.87     13.87                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    W * 104.78  37  33   1A   4 ( 11-  1) Michigan               12.06     -8.06                      
  9 11/06/2021 Away    L *  84.99  29  40   1A  20 (  8-  4) Purdue                 -7.73     -3.27                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    W *  96.51  40  21   1A  85 (  6-  6) Maryland                3.78     15.22                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L *  62.50   7  56   1A   2 ( 10-  2) Ohio State            -30.22    -18.78                      
 12 11/27/2021 Home    W *  96.95  30  27   1A  10 (  7-  5) Penn State              4.22     -1.22                      
      Averages              94.49  31.9 25.7

Best game:  113.88 = 21 point win over Miami FL
Worst game:  62.50 = 49 point loss to Ohio State
Team stdev:  13.18